Coronavirus Outbreak and the Mathematical Growth Map of COVID-19

Md. Kamrujjaman; Md. Shahriar Mahmud; Md. Shafiqul Islam

doi:10.9734/arrb/2020/v35i130182

Mission

Publication of high quality, high impact, peer-reviewed research papers and books.

Helpful

We are available for any assistance 24X7.

Fast and Transparent

We process all manuscripts fast and transparently, without compromising the peer-review standard.

Great Prices

High quality and lowest price are our USPs.

Coronavirus Outbreak and the Mathematical Growth Map of COVID-19

Md. Kamrujjaman

Md. Shahriar Mahmud

Md. Shafiqul Islam

Annual Research & Review in Biology, Page 72-78
DOI: 10.9734/arrb/2020/v35i130182
Published: 26 March 2020

Abstract

In the last two decades the world had faced three respiratory syndrome outbreaks incurred by Coronavirus. Though the wild animals are the primary carriers of the virus, the human population managed to survive sacrificing more than 1,600 lives from 2002 to 2012. But the current virus outbreak has already taken more than 2,462 lives since 22 February 2020. In the first few days, when the cases were being introduced under light, there were no treatment for the infection and the unleashed spread demands to be analyzed to see the pattern of the outbreak. This manuscript aims to look into the growth map of the COVID-19 outbreak under mathematical growth functions and tries to understand which growth pattern assembles the scenario for the cases.

Keywords:

Population dynamics
growth rate
real life data

How to Cite

Kamrujjaman, M., Mahmud, M. S., & Islam, M. S. (2020). Coronavirus Outbreak and the Mathematical Growth Map of COVID-19. Annual Research & Review in Biology, 35(1), 72-78. https://doi.org/10.9734/arrb/2020/v35i130182

References

Ahmad T, Khan M, Haroon TH, Musa SN, Hui J, Bonilla-Aldana DK, Rodriguez-Morales AJ, COVID-19: Zoonotic aspects.

Travel Medicine and Infectious Disease, ELSEVIER; 2020.

Zhao S, Musa SS, Lin Q, & Wang MH. Estimating the unreported number of Novel Coronavirus (2019-nCoV) cases in China in the first half of january 2020: A data-driven modelling analysis of the early outbreak. J. Clin. Med. 2020;9(2):388.

Chen N, Zhou M, Dong X, & Zhang L. Epidemiological and clinical characteristics of 99 cases of 2019 Novel Coronavirus pneumonia in Wuhan, China: A descriptive study. The Lancet. 2020;395(10223):507–513.

Kamrujjaman M, Hossain MA. Spreading reason of 2019-nCoV and the message of Almighty God (Allah): A justification for the protection of mankind. Arabian Journal of Medical Sciences. 2020;3(1):8-10.

World Health Organization (WHO); 2020. [6] Lu R, Zhao X, Li X, & Tan W. Genomic characterisation and epidemiology of 2019 novel coronavirus: Implications for virus origins and receptor binding. The Lancet. 2020;395(10224):565-574.

Ji W, Wang W, Zhao X, Zai J, Li X. Homologous recombination within the spike glycoprotein of the newly identified

coronavirus may boost crossspecies transmission from snake to human. Journal of Medical Virology. 2020;92(4):1-29.

’worldometer’, COVID-19 CORONAVIRUS / CASES; 2020.

Malthus T. An essay on the principle of population. London; 1798.

Verhulst PF. Notice sur la loi que la population suit dans son accroissement. Corr. Math. Physics. 1838;10:113.

Lotka AJ. Elements of mathematical biology. DOVER, New York; 1956.

Pearl R, Reed LJ. On the rate of growth of the population of United States since 1790 and its mathematical representation. Proceedings National Academy of Sciences, USA. 1920;275.

Abstract View: 3160 times
PDF Download: 1444 times